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  1. 2/15/13 is NOT a “potentially fateful day.” There is zero chance of a hit on that flyby. There is a very small chance it will hit on 2/16/20 and a number of times after that. It is NOT a “pretty serious piece of space junk.” Anything less than 50 meters is not considered a hazard. Tunguska was probably not an asteroid, since whatever it was exploded above the ground, which asteroids do not do. I recommend checking directly with JPL for the real story – I did so that I could understand why all the news articles were talking about next year when the JPL website listed 2020 as the first date of interest – but then what fun would that be? http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/